Runs locally in browserNo credit card required3 free runs/day
AlphaSolver

Simulate Prop Firm Challenges: Test Your Trading Strategies with Monte Carlo Precision

Run risk-free simulations to find your edge in passing funded account evals. Predict pass rates, payouts, and risks using your real trade data or simple stats. Tailored for firms like Topstep.

Pass Rate
0.0%
Based on 10,000 simulations
Expected Value
+0
Net profit per attempt
Avg Attempts
0.0
To pass evaluation
+EV ROI
+0%
Return on eval cost
Profit Target
$3,000
Max Drawdown
-$2,000
Eval Cost
$450
Win Rate
58.4%
Avg Win
+$187
Avg Loss
-$124

Try It Now

See what your results could look like

Each run generates different resultsClick to see sample Monte Carlo outcomes
Import from your platform
Simulate for any prop firm

Equity Paths Visualization

10,000 simulated equity curves • TOPSTEP 50K Challenge

Pass (76.9%)Fail (23.1%)Median
+$3,000 Profit TargetHover over paths for details-$2,000 Max Drawdown

Final P&L Distribution

Outcome spread across all simulations

76.9% Profitable

Trades Per Day

Based on your trading frequency

Avg: 3.2 trades/day

Strategy Comparison

Test multiple strategies to find your optimal approach

Strategy RunApproachPass RateDaysMax DDNet P&LResult
Strategy #1Aggressive32.4%8$487+$3,240Fast Pass
Strategy #2Conservative24.8%14$1,124+$3,067Steady Pass
Strategy #3Balanced19.7%20$1,687+$3,012Slow Pass
Strategy #4High Risk12.3%6$2,000-$450Early Bust
Strategy #5Low Freq10.8%15$2,000-$450Late Bust

Optimal Trading Plan

Personalized targets based on your statistics

Daily Profit Target
+$187

Reach $3K in ~16 trading days

Daily Stop Loss
-$125

Protect against bust scenarios

Win Rate Needed
52.4%

You have 58.4% (surplus)

Expected Days to Pass
12

Median across simulations

Optimal Trades/Day
3-4
Based on frequency analysis
Risk per Trade
$41
1R = 0.33% of drawdown
R:R Ratio
1.5:1
Matches your avg win/loss

Prop Trading Simulator Features

Monte Carlo trading analysis for funded account challenges. Test your edge before you pay.

Bootstrapped Monte Carlo

Resample real trades for accurate edge testing. Upload your actual trade log and let the simulation reflect your true performance distribution.

Prop Firm Rulesets

Enforce eval/funded phases, trailing drawdowns, daily limits, and payout structures. Presets for Topstep, Apex, Take Profit Trader, and more.

Kelly Criterion Sizing

Optimal position sizing based on your strategy's edge. Maximize growth while managing risk according to proven mathematical principles.

Outcome Scenarios

Clustered paths showing fast pass, slow pass, and extended failure patterns. Understand the shape of your possible futures.

Pass Probabilities with 95% CI

Confidence intervals on your pass rate, plus equity curves and comprehensive risk metrics for informed decision-making.

100% Local & Private

Your trade data never leaves your browser. No servers, no uploads, no risk of your edge being exposed. Full cost/ROI analysis included.

How It Works

01

Upload Trade Log or Enter Params

Bootstrap from CSVs (MT4/5, NinjaTrader) or use win rate, stops/TP, trades per day.

02

Configure Prop Rules

Set daily loss/win limits, profit targets, fees, and slippage (defaults to Topstep).

03

Run Monte Carlo Sims

Generate 1,000+ paths for probabilistic outcomes across thousands of scenarios.

04

Analyze Results

Get pass probs with 95% CI, expected payouts, drawdowns, Kelly sizing, and scenario clusters.

Simple Pricing

Start free with 3 sims/day. Upgrade for unlimited Monte Carlo trading analysis.

FREE TIER

$0/month

3 Sims/Day – Basic Monte Carlo access for strategy testing

3 simulations per day
All prop firm presets
Pass probability & EV analysis
Trading plan generation
CSV upload support
Unlimited simulations
CSV/JSON exports
AI Upload (column detection)

Cancel anytime. Satisfaction guaranteed.

Frequently Asked Questions

Stop Guessing.
Start Simulating.

Know your prop challenge odds with Monte Carlo precision. Test strategies risk-free before risking real capital.

Your data stays in your browser. We never see your trades.